Chapter 5. Technology Assessment Methodology5.1. Introduction67. To ensure that NATO and its member nations maintain the best use of technology it is important to distinguish between retiring, mandated and emerging technologies/standards. Once they are identified and their applicability analyzed, then informed decisions can be made on what role each technology or standard will play in the current technical architecture. 68. The rapid pace of technological change carries with it the potential benefits of faster and more cost-effective improvements in operational capability; however, the rapidity of change upon a broad technology front also makes the task of identifying emerging technologies particularly difficult. 69. The process of analyzing these emerging technologies will follow 3 steps. The first step is to filter the technologies down to those that are appropriate and applicable to NATO operations. The second step is identifying were in the technology's life cycle are we at the present time. The final step is to describe and forecast the emerging technology's impact on NATO operations. 5.1.1. Filter Criteria70. The first step in the process of analyzing emerging technologies for NATO is to determine which technologies are relevant to NATO. In other words, we need way to sort through vastly different technologies and focus on only those that influences the answers to the following questions:
71. So for any given potential technology if we apply any of the above questions and the answer is yes, then that technology has passed the minimum threshold to be a candidate for consideration. 5.1.2. Grading Scale72. By following 'The Rate of Adoption Theory'[4], we can track the dissemination of a technology over time with innovations going through a slow, gradual growth period, followed by dramatic and rapid growth, and then a gradual stabilization and finally a decline. This model can best track the state of technologies in the IT area of interest.
Table 5.1. Key Attributes 5.1.2.1. Maturity Attribute73. Technology maturity is a measure of the degree of readiness to which proposed critical technologies meets NATO's objectives. This assessment examines concepts, technology requirements, and demonstrated technology capabilities in order to determine technological maturity. In general,
5.1.2.2. Adoption Attribute74. The adaptation attribute deal with the question of how widespread is the use of a technology. The more ubiquitous a technology becomes, then the lower the costs are for that technology. High rates of adoption also reduce the likelihood of encountering interoperability problems. 5.1.2.3. Supportability Attribute75. The supportability attribute is a measure of the number of organizations that endorse or supports a technology. More entities involved in developing and sustaining a technology translate into stability. |